LIMITED LAUNCH PRICING — $99/MO 7-DAY MONEY-BACK GUARANTEE CANCEL ANYTIME, NO CONTRACTS ALL TOOLS INCLUDED, NO UPSELLS INSTANT ACCESS AFTER CHECKOUT LIMITED LAUNCH PRICING — $99/MO 7-DAY MONEY-BACK GUARANTEE CANCEL ANYTIME, NO CONTRACTS ALL TOOLS INCLUDED, NO UPSELLS INSTANT ACCESS AFTER CHECKOUT LIMITED LAUNCH PRICING — $99/MO 7-DAY MONEY-BACK GUARANTEE CANCEL ANYTIME, NO CONTRACTS ALL TOOLS INCLUDED, NO UPSELLS INSTANT ACCESS AFTER CHECKOUT
Probability Lab
PROBABILITY LAB

Trade Prediction Markets
With An Edge, Not A Guess.

A 3-minute walkthrough of how Probability Lab consolidates the tools, research, and infrastructure serious traders use to find opportunities before they're priced in.

Watch the overview — "Inside The Full Toolkit"
$99/mo · Cancel anytime · 7-day money-back guarantee
All tools included No long-term contract Instant access after checkout
The Problem

Most Traders Operate Without
A System — Or An Edge.

If you trade Polymarket or Kalshi with any regularity, this is probably familiar.

Fragmented Tooling

A tracker here, an alert bot there, a course somewhere else — none of it integrated, none of it talking to each other.

Delayed Information

By the time a market move is visible, capital has already rotated in. The edge is gone before you see it.

No Repeatable Process

No system, no journal, no peer review — decisions made in isolation, with no way to track what's actually working.

There's a more efficient way to operate. One system, not five subscriptions.
The Platform

Every Tool You'd Otherwise
Pay For Separately — In One Place.

Probability Lab consolidates tools, research, alerts, and education into a single system, and adds new tools on an ongoing basis at no additional cost.

VALUE $297/mo

Alpha Tracker

Follow whales, spot insiders, and copy high-conviction wallets before the crowd catches on.

  • Whale & insider alerts
  • Real-time wallet tracking
  • Copy-trading tools
  • New trade notifications
VALUE $197/mo

New Market Alerts

Get notified when fresh markets launch on Kalshi and Polymarket before attention piles in.

  • Instant market launch alerts
  • Polymarket & Kalshi coverage
  • Find opportunities earlier
  • Never miss new listings
VALUE $197/mo

News Radar

Monitor market-moving information faster without spending hours scrolling feeds.

  • Curated news monitoring
  • Market-moving alerts
  • Reduce information lag
  • Save hours of research
VALUE $97/mo

Trader Journal

Track your trades, review mistakes, and build a repeatable process over time.

  • Trade tracking & analytics
  • Performance calendar
  • Review wins and losses
  • Build better habits
VALUE $197/mo

Market Bond Tool

Find nearly resolved markets and overlooked opportunities hidden in plain sight.

  • Find nearly resolved markets
  • Identify pricing inefficiencies
  • Save hours of research
  • Discover overlooked setups
VALUE $197/mo

Daily Recap

Stay on top of the most important market developments every day — with analysis on what's moving and which markets may be affected.

  • Daily market summary
  • Analysis on impacted markets
  • Never miss what matters
  • Stay ahead of the news cycle
EVERYTHING ELSE INCLUDED

More Than Just Tools.

Access market research, trade ideas, education, and a network of serious prediction market traders — all designed to help you find opportunities faster and make better decisions.

Fed Funds Rate
Yes 68%No 32%
AI Regulation Bill
Yes 55%No 45%
Bitcoin Price EOY
Yes 62%No 38%

Alpha Calls & Research

Daily Trade Ideas Market Breakdowns Expert Traders Community Research

Prediction Market Course

Beginner-To-Advanced Expected Value Frameworks Risk Management Systems Proven Trading Strategies

Prediction Market Library

Market Mechanics & Rules Full Terminology Glossary Searchable, Always Updated Answers Any Question, Fast

Private Community

Serious PM Traders Live Market Discussions Feedback On Your Ideas Learn From Members
1
12,450
2
8,120
3
6,030

Get Rewarded

Earn Rewards For Alpha Monthly Leaderboards Contributor Roles Build Your Reputation
$99/mo · Cancel anytime · 7-day money-back guarantee
Membership Value

Purchased Separately, This
Totals $2,973+ Per Month.

Full Membership Breakdown
Alpha Tracker$297/mo
Research & Alpha Calls$297/mo
Prediction Market Course$997
Prediction Market Library$497
Market Bond Tool$197/mo
News Radar$197/mo
New Market Alerts$197/mo
Daily Recap$197/mo
Trader Journal$97/mo
Private Community Access$197/mo
Contributor RewardsUnlimited
Total Value$2,973+
Membership Price$99/mo
$99/mo · Cancel anytime · 7-day money-back guarantee

Evaluate It Risk-Free For 7 Days.

If the platform isn't the right fit, request a refund within 7 days of joining. No retention flow, no extended hold periods.

Membership

Start Trading With A System.

All tools, research, course access, library, and community included. No tiers, no add-ons.

Monthly
Yearly SAVE $297
Full Access Membership
$99/month
Billed monthly · cancel anytime
  • All six trading tools included
  • Daily alpha calls, recap & research
  • Full prediction market course & library
  • Private community access
  • New tools added on an ongoing basis
  • 7-day money-back guarantee
Instant access after checkout · No contract
Questions

Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly is Probability Lab?+
A prediction market membership combining tools, research, trade ideas, education, and a private community — built to help traders operate with a faster, more disciplined process.
Is this suitable for beginners?+
Yes. The course and reference library cover fundamentals, expected value, risk management, and market selection, while the tools and community support more experienced traders refining their process.
What tools are included?+
Alpha Tracker, New Market Alerts, News Radar, Trader Journal, Market Bond Tool, and Daily Recap — with additional tools added over time at no extra cost.
What's the difference between the course and the library?+
The course is structured, beginner-to-advanced video training. The Prediction Market Library is a written, searchable reference for looking up specific mechanics, terms, or platform rules as questions come up.
Can members earn for sharing research?+
Yes. Members who contribute quality, validated research and trade ideas can earn rewards and standing on the monthly leaderboard.
Is there a contract?+
No. Membership is month-to-month, cancelable anytime, and backed by a 7-day money-back guarantee.

Markets Move Whether
You're Prepared Or Not.

Every day spent without a system is a day spent reacting instead of executing. Get the full toolkit today.

$99/mo · 7-day money-back guarantee · Cancel anytime
Probability Lab is an educational community for prediction market participants. Nothing on this page, inside the community, or within any tool, course, library, or research post should be considered financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Trading involves substantial risk, including loss of capital. Results vary and are not guaranteed. Probability Lab is an independent educational platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Polymarket, Kalshi, or any other market platform referenced on this page.
© 2026 Sage Creek Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Probability Lab
$99/mo · All tools included